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- PublicationDo commodity price volatilities impact currency misalignments in commodity-exporting countries?(2020)
; 159 149 - PublicationDo sovereign wealth funds dampen the effect of oil market volatility on gross domestic product growth?(2022)
; Trabelsi, AhlemThis paper examines the effect of oil price volatility on gross domestic product (GDP) growth in some oil-exporting countries. The analysis becomes more pertinent when we consider the role of sovereign wealth funds (SWFs) as a driver to counter the exhaustibility of revenue by transforming nonrenewable resources into sustainable income. The main contribution made by this paper is our assessment of the role of SWF asset growth in dampening the effect of oil market volatility on GDP growth. To test this effect, we rely on a panel smooth transition regression model which is useful for describing heterogeneous panels, with regression coefficients that fluctuate between a limited number of “extreme regimes” depending on the SWF assets’ size. Our findings demonstrate that this effect is nonlinear and depends on the threshold level of SWF asset growth. The estimated coefficient is negative in the first regime and becomes positive beyond the threshold value (ie, 19%) in the second regime. We also test a second specification of the model by considering the effect of the volatility of per capita oil export revenue on GDP growth and show that SWF asset growth plays a significant role in dampening the effect of oil market volatility on GDP growth, mainly in the second regime when SWF asset growth reaches a high growth level.48 - PublicationDouble Impact: A Macroeconomic Study of the Crossed Influences Between Climate Change and Business Tourism(2023)International tourism is a main sector of economy that witnesses continuous and tremendous growth in developed and developing countries and expresses destabilization by several factors including climate change. Being considered as a sensitive sector to climate, tourism shows, through several criteria such as number of arrivals and receipts, an influence by environmental and socioeconomic modifications. This article will outline the interrelationships between climate change phenomenon and the business component of the international tourism. Three focal elements that were developed through literature on the effects of climate change for tourism will be critically reviewed: climate change and temporal shifts in tourism demand, climate-inducted change and destination competitiveness within the major market segment of business tourism, and future tourist mobility. The review will develop the differential weakness of tourism destinations and the consequence in competitiveness that will transform some international markets. This will be relevant to explain why destinations will need to adapt to the risks and opportunities posed by climate change. Despite several elements illustrating progress in the past years, an important gap of knowledge in each of the major impact areas needs to be looked into in order to indicate to the concerned tourist the necessity for a well preparation toward challenges of climate change.
28Scopus© Citations 1 - PublicationEffects of financial turmoil on financial integration and risk premia in emerging marketsThe aim of this article is to analyze how financial crises affect the dynamics of international financial integration and of the risk premia in emerging markets. Accordingly, we estimate a variant of the International Asset Pricing Model developed by Carrieri et al. (2007), allowing for time-varying stock market integration, in which we include the foreign currency risk. Our sample consists of monthly data for 12 emerging stock markets over the period 1988M3-2015M3. We find that while the financial integration of emerging stock markets has registered short-term reversals episodes in countries that have been exposed to national or/and regional financial crises, it has decreased in most of the emerging countries of our sample since the global crisis. Moreover, the upward trend in financial integration has not reduced the local market risk premium component as much as could be expected. However, the recent global crisis has induced a reassessment of the world market risk premium for all emerging countries, highlighting the global nature of the crisis. © 2016 Elsevier B.V..
Scopus© Citations 11 104 72 - PublicationI’m no casual: exploring the consumer behaviour of Fantasy Premier League hardcore international managers(2023)The internet has caused a worldwide exponential increase in the number of fantasy sports consumers in general, and Fantasy Premier League (FPL) in particular. This paper investigates the overall experiences of hardcore ‘managers’. Using interviews and applying Grounded Theory, this study offers a description regarding managers’ 1) perceptions of what makes a hardcore manager as against a casual one; 2) motivations to participate in FPL at hardcore levels; 3) media usage; 4) the impact FPL has on their consumption of the sport and its products; and 5) the marketability of specific players. Subsequently, we develop an understanding of international FPL hardcore managers’ consumption behaviour. This understanding helps teams, marketers, and sponsors both directly and indirectly to establish a more effective reach to this growing psychographic group. Moreover, it contributes to the body of knowledge of cultural consumer research.
43 1 - PublicationNew evidence on time-varying financial integration within Gulf Cooperation Council stock markets(2023)
; Guillaumin, CyriacThe aim of this study is to investigate the dynamics of regional financial integration among Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries by pricing the local stock market return based on different risk premia related to the regional stock market and exchange market. Our approach is based on the international capital asset pricing model (ICAPM), which accounts for the degree of financial integration in the pricing of market risk premia. We also construct a regional currency basket, named Khaleeji, in order to obtain a reference currency in this area and to prospect the twin objective: a lesser peg to the US dollar and the emergence of regional monetary cooperation. Our main findings show that GCC stock markets are impacted by both regional and local financial shocks and crises. Analysis of the long-term dynamics highlights that the regional risk premium is not negligible for GCC countries, and better cooperation can enhance regional risk-sharing. The results also indicate that the degree of regional financial integration varies from country to country, leaning toward a partial integration level of GCC countries within their region. The increasing importance of regional risk premia and financial integration could encourage further financial cooperation among GCC countries, ultimately leading to better economic integration.3 - PublicationNon-linear relationship between real commodity price volatility and real effective exchange rate: The case of commodity-exporting countries(2019)
; Scopus© Citations 25 863 - PublicationRegional integration of the East Asian stock markets: An empirical assessmentThe aim of this paper is to study the dynamics of regional financial integration in East Asia over the 1990:01-2012:08 period. To this end, we use the international capital asset pricing model (ICAPM) to assess the evolution of financial market integration through time and evaluate their risk premia. We also construct an Asian currency basket in order to obtain a reference currency in this area. Our empirical analysis is based on the multivariate GARCH-DCC approach with time-varying correlations. Our results show that the East Asian stock markets were partially segmented (except for Japan) within their region until approximately 2008. However, the last years are characterized by an upward trend in the regional integration of stock markets. Our findings also show that the risk premium related to regional stock markets is significant for all countries. © 2015 Elsevier Ltd.
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